Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 517.513856 550.136021 584.018265 621.895289 663.126806 706.727257 756.419910
2026-02-01 476.978689 522.084949 570.806192 627.552971 692.095001 763.528955 848.998838
2026-02-08 451.340845 504.395398 563.335445 634.071755 717.192204 812.424267 930.740801
2026-02-15 428.670147 487.047187 553.376839 634.941768 733.396180 849.505459 998.457326
2026-02-22 409.840663 472.241298 544.519539 635.287049 747.453528 883.165660 1062.355562
2026-03-01 395.245811 461.168374 538.854106 638.286678 763.831022 919.375213 1130.383295
2026-03-08 380.465289 448.819846 530.601952 637.059505 774.086446 947.541802 1188.757814
2026-03-15 368.256830 438.836281 524.474062 637.721051 786.153847 977.923937 1251.053145
2026-03-22 356.812824 429.144292 518.043741 637.326049 796.329342 1005.734784 1310.823036
2026-03-29 346.514522 420.352726 512.199338 637.131239 806.346595 1033.321775 1371.329011
2026-04-05 338.616397 414.212681 509.352062 640.509083 820.982729 1067.521184 1442.852140
2026-04-12 329.946212 406.672923 504.267849 640.471545 830.637937 1094.867068 1505.555923
2026-04-19 323.911715 402.342092 503.200572 645.756112 847.829912 1133.652923 1587.776309
2026-04-26 318.542002 398.638286 502.732818 651.688295 865.989819 1174.488331 1675.503691
2026-05-03 313.878073 395.655002 503.030495 658.545195 885.575048 1218.153654 1770.284695
2026-05-10 307.367777 389.927639 499.319057 659.460355 896.317652 1248.795719 1845.793408
2026-05-17 301.050112 384.231582 495.401940 659.823565 906.085858 1278.189552 1920.885757
2026-05-24 296.040216 380.144465 493.530428 662.979084 920.040909 1314.589192 2010.016738
2026-05-31 289.825559 374.185010 488.800840 661.688105 927.009461 1340.057493 2081.741146
2026-06-07 284.573133 369.396936 485.542501 662.384042 936.958204 1370.633442 2164.354205
2026-06-14 279.229356 364.315128 481.678306 661.968504 945.031973 1398.367685 2243.559078
2026-06-21 274.204095 359.533643 478.076125 661.763567 953.327939 1426.722627 2325.714177
2026-06-28 270.539321 356.575042 476.998750 665.317152 967.717106 1465.946825 2431.068372